There have been a number of discourses recently forecasting the expiration of U.S. Treasuries.  But it is critical to comprehend that much of this conversation is not initiated on indication, instead it is centered on the allegory that an individual can predict where the stock market and interest rates are directed.  The markets were distressed in 2008 with a 38% drop in stocks, but the migration to security generated 17% full yields for the 7-10 Year Treasury index. The stock market in 2009 rebounded back with almost a 29% gain, and the 7-10 Year Treasury index mislaid 6.4%. Treasuries also performed as projected during the loud crash of 2010 and the third quarter of 2011.

Excerpt:

“But it is crucial to understand that much of this talk is not founded on evidence, rather it is based on the myth that one can forecast where the stock market and interest rates are heading.”

Original article can be found at:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2011/12/09/what-to-watch-out-for-in-treasuries/

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